Has Xi Jinping Lost Control of the Military? Multiple Anomalies Point to Political Shifts in China

After Xi Jinping issued a new wave of purges from the PLA, its goal appears to be sidelining his military influence and potentially forcing his resignation.

Jennifer Zeng December 7, 2024

The Chinese president's assertion of "100 years of unprecedented changes" may be materializing. This time, however, the upheaval seems to be centered around Xi Jinping himself.

Bizarre Developments and Rising Rumors

Since whispers of Xi Jinping suffering a stroke during the Chinese Communist Party's (CCP) Third Plenary Session in July, China's political sphere has been awash with unusual developments and persistent rumors. Speculation about whether Xi has lost full or partial control over his authority has only intensified. One event stands out as particularly significant: the arrest of Miao Hua. Miao was a key member of the Central Military Commission (CMC) and Director of the Political Work Department. This development could mark the beginning of a major upheaval within China's political landscape. It also suggests that Xi might no longer fully control the military.

The Arrest of Miao Hua

On November 11, I reported the arrest of Miao Hua, a prediction officially confirmed on November 28, making this one of the earliest reports in English-language media. This arrest holds immense significance. Beyond Xi Jinping himself, the CMC consists of only five other members, forming the apex of military leadership in China. The removal of a CMC member is therefore not a trivial matter.

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12/6/2024

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